4X — Explore, Expand, Extract AND Exit

Jason Yip
Jan 1, 2025

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Kent Beck’s 2016 3X model (Explore, Expand, Extract) is essentially a different way of expressing Theodore Levitt’s 1965 product life cycle (Market Development, Growth, Maturity, Decline).

  1. Market Development → Explore
  2. Growth → Expand
  3. Maturity → Extract
  4. Decline → ?

For the missing X for Decline, I propose “Exit”.

In other words, the 3X model becomes 4X:

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Jason Yip
Jason Yip

Written by Jason Yip

Senior Manager Product Engineering at Grainger. Extreme Programming, Agile, Lean guy. Ex-Spotify, ex-ThoughtWorks, ex-CruiseControl

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